tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2761568629805670678.post7047551095136380164..comments2023-12-31T22:06:28.174-08:00Comments on The Other World: Fantasy Baseball Musings: Wisdom is so ConventionalDanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10426813731400850113noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2761568629805670678.post-87243069534594914292010-03-27T09:53:36.412-07:002010-03-27T09:53:36.412-07:00I agree that 1B is overrated (and yet I fell victi...I agree that 1B is overrated (and yet I fell victim to it in our league by keeping Fielder) because I kind of wanted him on my team, and I knew he would be drafted before my 1st pick. It's the deepest position, you can find 30 HR/power sources practically all over the league.<br /><br />As for C, I think that they're a little more complicated to rate. A typical C only plays 120 games per season because of the wear and tear of the position. <br /><br />Therefore,it doesn't occur to many people that a two catcher system to maximize the stats from the position slot would be the way to go (I've never done this though). You just have to be diligent.<br /><br />Because of the undercounting of games played, most catchers are thrown into the "all the same" boat. I do this constantly because...they're just not being drafted (except for the top guys). It pays to wait when you always have your choice on the board.<br /><br />After our draft, I'd be interested in seeing your system. I'm actually not surprised by the high rating of Cruz (power/speed combo with decent avg). Similar to Abreu, Green, and Ordonez of recent vintage. Mike Napoli, though? Is this because of his high OBP?<br /><br />Good luck tomorrow!Danhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10426813731400850113noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2761568629805670678.post-51765665268575435882010-03-27T09:17:59.776-07:002010-03-27T09:17:59.776-07:00And to polish it off, I agree about how perception...And to polish it off, I agree about how perceptions get formed by the ADP. For instance, Tulo in the first round gaining momentum and becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy. I would not have conceptualized that on my own instinct. That said, the VORP creation I'm using actually bears that out a little. Surprised me. But there are many cases to the contrary.Goose Joakhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13751086302948001875noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2761568629805670678.post-12423273154668031852010-03-27T09:14:36.682-07:002010-03-27T09:14:36.682-07:00Other surprise guys in that league: Mike Napoli as...Other surprise guys in that league: Mike Napoli as a top 24 player. Nelson Cruz higher than Mark Teixeira and Carl Crawford. At least, those are my perceptions based on how I calculate league specific VORP. In all the two biggest misalignments between ADP and my system are 1B and C. Catchers are way underrated and 1B is way overrated by traditional ADP.Goose Joakhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13751086302948001875noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2761568629805670678.post-87014499780143632632010-03-27T09:11:27.000-07:002010-03-27T09:11:27.000-07:00What then makes things interesting, though, is com...What then makes things interesting, though, is coming up with your own rankings outside of CW. For instance, in my other league (with standard stats), I think Jason Bay is a top 12 player. Yahoo has him at 57. So I took him comfortably in the third round, easily confident that I was getting value for the pick. As you were saying, yeah you do have to reach above ADP sometimes, but a lot of times the value still merits doing so.Goose Joakhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13751086302948001875noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2761568629805670678.post-9720341349176179132010-03-27T09:07:42.904-07:002010-03-27T09:07:42.904-07:00Just a phenomenal post. I had yet to see anyone a...Just a phenomenal post. I had yet to see anyone articulate this thought. But I totally agree.Goose Joakhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13751086302948001875noreply@blogger.com